Bangalore: Karnataka can become the witness of triangular fight among Congress, BJP and Kumarswamy’s JDS as all senior leaders of each party is giving their best in last days of upcoming elections. Congress is putting it’s base with the hard work they had don’t in last 5 years.Notable that congress had its 5 years report card on behalf of that Congress is leading it’s path to ask for votes to voters meanwhile Kumarswamy’s JDS id getting support from rural belt mean while BJP too is searching its land to find the marginal voters. As senior and fire brand leaders of each party are giving their best, voters had been now shifting everywhere and it causes a confusing situation for each party to get the enough seats.
Teams of Shining India News and Shining India Research and Analysis is working to find ground reality in all over Karnataka for Opinion poll. Teams are going among people to know the flow of voters and to know what are the factors that are affecting elections this term. They are also checking the root problems that can affect each party and it’s voters and vital factors that will help each party to gain voters.
During this analysis it had been noted that Congress party is leading in Karnataka because of its development work it had done in state under the supervision of CM Siddaramaiah. People are appreciating the works of CM and it’s ministers while BJP can get it’s cader voter’s support.
Notable that charisma of Prime Minister Narendra Modi is still affecting youth and youth are now diverting toward BJP these days. Meanwhile BJP is getting hard competition with Congress in Karnataka as public welfare schemes that had been launched by congress in state in last 5 years and CM Siddaramaiah had been successfully set the agenda.
Karnataka Chief Minister Siddaramaiah has scored fairly well after being in power for five years. 41% of people have rated the performance of Siddaramaiah as Good or very good, while another 26% have rated it average. 29% feel that CM Siddaramaiah’s performance is not good, The perception that CM Siddaramaiah’s performance has been very good or good is relatively weaker among the Brahmins, Marathi, Jain’s, Vokkaligas and Lingayats.
The below given data had shown the flow of voters:
INC- 38.3% (+-2%)
BJP- 34.1% (+-2%)
JDS- 20.5% (+-2%)
OTH- 07.1% (+-2%)
The given data shows the seat share of each party:
INC- 98-105
BJP- 82-87
JDS- 34-41
OTH- 06-11
The given data had been based on opinion poll that had been collected by Survey and analysis teams of Shining India Research and Analysis. Shining India News Groups ,
During Shining India Research and Analysis process, voters had given their choice of best candidate of CM.
34.6% people of collected data had chosen Siddaramaiah as best suited to be the next chief minister karnataka, while Yeddyurappa gets the support of 25.7%. HD Kumaraswamy ,JDS Karnataka chief, on the other hand, is the favourite of 23.4% of people.
Meanwhile 04.2 % voters had selected other and 12.1% voters hadn’t decided anything. This 12.1% voter can play a major role in elections.
78691 Interview were conducted Across all of Karnataka 224 Assembly Constituency, 64% Rural Area and 36 urban areas,
The given data had been based on analysis till 7th May, 2018
The main factor that are supporting cogress include Lingayat support. Congress had already played Lingayat card. CM had proposed 17% quota to Lingayat community and it’s turning Lingayat people in favor to congress.
BJP is playing defensive against this move of Congress.
Virshev community is still standing strong to support BJP and trying to defeat the one who’s dividing people in Karnataka.
It is for the first time in Karnataka election history that voters are diverting in every side and that had create huge confusion in among voters.
They are checking that no stone had been left unturned to see who can support and help them most in all aspects.
Being completing 4 years of Modi Government, the Brand Modi is not getting any anti incumbency effect. His personality appeal is still the same as it was 4 years ago.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi had successfully put his impact of presence in among youth from 18 to 25 years of age. There are 65 lac voters of this age and they are almost 13% of state’s total voters. There’s no competition in efficiency of PM Modi with anyone in diverting voters toward itself in modern India.
People are thankful to CM Siddaramaiah. The welfare scheme of Siddaramaiah led Congress Government in Karnataka. Each family in state is getting benefit of welfare scheme in Karnataka.
It is notable that Vokalinga community had disappointment with CM Siddaramaiah. Siddaramaiah had not done anything for them to please them. But the support of backward class to one party is always beneficial.
Major factor that affect election are:
1. Unemployment
2. Drinking water
3. Agricultural issues
4. Corruption
5. Farmer’s issues
6. Better health facilities in rural areas
7. Better education in rural areas
8. Garbage ( Bangalore )
9. Drainage system
10. Sewage problem
Notable that the given issues, data and records had been based on public opinion and analysis that had been done till May 7th , 2018 and voters of all age, gender and area are include.
Bureau Report
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