NewDelhi: Duration of the Survey and Public Opinion: 18th September to 3rd November 2024.
Rural Area Sampling: 53.7%
Urban Area Sampling: 46.3%
Age Groups wise Sampling!
Youth Voters 18-34 : 27.4%
Middle Age 35-55 : 41.2%
Senior Citizens 56-65+ : 23.9%
Mix Age Groups : 07.5%
Community wise Sampling:
Maratha Community: 22.5%
SC Community : 11.3%
ST Community : 07.9%
Muslim Community : 10.6%
Christian Community: 0.9%
Buddhist Community: 04.1%
Brahmins,Upper Caste: 05.7%
Gujarati Community : 01.7%
Rajasthani Community: 01.4%
UP- Bihar Community : 03.9%
South Indian Community: 01.6%
Malis Community : 4.3%
Vanjaris Community : 04.6%
Kunbis Community : 05.1%
Dhangars Community. : 03.9%
All Others & Mix Community:10.5%
# Maharashtra Assembly Elections Opinion Poll 2024.
Maharashtra: Alliance Wise vote share projection!
Maha Vikas Agadi : 43.2% +-4
Mahayuti : 39.4% +-4
Other : 11.3% +-3
ND : 06.1% [Undecided & Silent Voters]
OTH (MIM,VBA,SP,BVA,MNS,BSP, IND & All Others)
# According to the Shining India Survey reports and present scenario if polling took place today MVA will be leading with 3.8% over to Mahayuti .
# 
There are 4.7% voters in the whole of Maharashtra who are currently supporting a party. But seeing the political atmosphere near the elections, they can go towards the Party / Alliance which has a higher probability of forming the government. According to public opinion and survey reports.
# Maharashtra: Alliance wise Seat Share projection!
Maha Vikas Agadi : 143 +11
Mahayuti : 130 +-11
MIM : 3 +-2
SP : 2 +-1
BVA : 2 +-1
Other & IND : 8 +-3
( Close fight seats 46)
OTH (VBA,MNS,IND,SBP,RSP, & PJP, all Small parties which are not in any alliance)
# Maharashtra : Party wise Vote share projection!
BJP+ : 23.6%. +-3
INC+ : 16.1% +-3
SSUBT: 15 .7%. +-3
SSES : 11.4%. +-3
NCPSP: 11.2% +-3
NCPAP: 04.4% +-1
OTH : 11.3%. +-3
ND : 06.1% [Undecided & Silent]
OTH (MIM,VBA,SP,BVA,PJP, MNS,BSP, IND, RSP & All Others Small parties)
# Maharashtra : Party wise Seat Share projection!
BJP+ : 82 +-7
INC+ : 55 +-7
SSUBT : 46 +-7
SSES : 36 +-7
NCPSP : 42 +-7
NCPAP : 12 +-4
MIM : 3 +-2
SP : 2 +-1
BVA : 2 +-1
OTH : 8 +-3
(Close fight seats 46)
OTH (MIM,VBA,BVA,RSP, PJP,MNS, IND & All Others)
# Which leader in Maharashtra do you want to see as the next Chief Minister of the Maharashtra state?
Sri Uddhav Thackeray Ji : 29.6% +-3
Sri Eknath Shinde Ji : 21.8% +-3
Sri Devendra Fadnavis Ji: 15.4% +-3
Sri Nitin Gadkari Ji : 02.5% +-1
Sri Nana Patole Ji : 06.7% +-2
Sri Ajit Pawar Ji : 02.9% +-1
Sri Sharad Pawar Ji : 03.8% +-1
Smt. Supriya Sule Ji : 02.4% +-1
Sri Vinod Tavde Ji BJP : 01.6% +-1
Sri Parthiv Raj Chavan Ji: 02.9% +-1
Sri Vijay Wadettiwar Ji INC: 02.4% +-1
Sri Balasaheb Thorat Ji INC: 02.3% +-1
Sri Jayant Patil Ji NCPSP : 03.8% +-1
OTHERS : 01.9%
Community wise Opinion Poll reports
# Brahmins and Upper Caste voters Survey reports
Maha Vikas Agadi : 34.2% +-4
Mahayuti : 59.1% +-4
Other : 02.6%
ND : 04.1% [Undecided & Silent Voters]
# Muslim Community Opinion Poll reports
Maha Vikas Agadi : 68.7% +-4
Mahayuti : 08.1% +-2
Other : 17.9% +-3
ND : 05.3% [Undecided & Silent Voters]
OTH ( SP,MIM,IND,BVA,PJP, RSP,VBA,BSP& OTHER Small Party)
# SC Community Opinion Poll reports
Maha Vikas Agadi : 45.4% +-4
Mahayuti : 34.7% +-4
Other : 13.5% +-3
ND : 06.4% [Undecided & Silent Voters]
ST Community Opinion Poll reports
Maha Vikas Agadi : 50.1% +-4
Mahayuti : 37.3% +-4
Other : 08.1% +-2
ND : 04.5% [Undecided & Silent Voters]
# Maratha Community Opinion Poll reports
Maha Vikas Agadi : 41.6% +-4
Mahayuti : 36.8% +-4
Other : 10.9% +-2
ND : 10.7% [Undecided & Silent Voters]
# Maratha Voters Survey The 10.7% percent silent voters among the Maratha voters will be decisive. Whichever alliance they support will have a higher chance of forming a government. According to public opinion and survey reports.
# Marathi Voters Survey Manoj Jarange Patil, the leader of the Maratha movement, has a huge influence among Marathi rural voters. Manoj Jarange Patil has a big influence on 20 to 25 seats.
# Maratha voters of rural areas are more supporting MVA.
# Marathi voters of urban areas are supporting the BJP alliance more.
# OBC Community Opinion Poll reports
Maha Vikas Agadi : 37.1% +-4
Mahayuti : 49.3% +-4
Other : 08.5% +-2
ND : 05.1% [Undecided & Silent Voters]
# South Indian Community Opinion Poll Survey reports,
Maha Vikas Agadi : 46.8% +-4
Mahayuti : 41.7% +-4
Other : 05.4% +-2
ND : 06.1% [Undecided & Silent Voters]
# Gujarati Voters Opinion Poll reports
Maha Vikas Agadi : 29.3% +-4
Mahayuti : 63.8% +-4
Other : 02.1% +-1
ND : 04.8% [Undecided & Silent Voters]
# UP – Bihar, MP, JH & Rajasthani, North Indian migrant voters Opinion Poll reports,
Maha Vikas Agadi : 34.8% +-4
Mahayuti : 55.2% +-4
Other : 04.9% +-2
ND : 05.1% [Undecided & Silent Voters]
# Majority of the support of Hindu migrant voters is towards the BJP alliance.
# Christian Community Opinion Poll reports
Maha Vikas Agadi : 78.6% +-4
Mahayuti : 09.2% +-2
Other : 06.4% +-2
ND : 05.8% [Undecided & Silent Voters]
# Are you satisfied with the performance of the current Maharashtra government?
Yes : 43.2% +-4
No : 51.6% +-4
Can’t say : 05.2%
# The Maratha community is on both sides. Mahayuti alliance and Mahavikas Agadi alliance, it may go a more towards the MVA alliance. Especially in Marathwada region.
# Among the Maratha voters, the rural voters are supporting Maha Vikas Agadi more and the urban Maratha voters are supporting Mahayuti more.
# The BJP alliance is getting more votes from the OBC community.
# The BJP alliance is also getting more votes from Brahmins and upper castes.
#The Congress alliance Mahavikas Agadi is getting most of the support of the economically weaker and poor class voters. Except the upper castes.
# Seat sharing has not happened properly in the Mahavikas Agadi alliance.
# Weak candidates have been given on many seats Maha Vikas Aghadi has given these seats intentionally or has given them as adjustment. According to public opinion.
# As the election comes closer, many equations may change and the possibility of some changes in the seats of close contest cannot be ruled out.
#Inflation, unemployment, corruption, farming, electricity, water rural Area, health or education, law and order, Roads, Maratha reservation these are the big issues.
#This survey and opinion poll report is from 18th September to 3rd November 2024.
Bureau Report
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