New Delhi/ Ishant Singh: Delhi had going to become the witness of the triangular political war of Bharatiya Janata Party, Congress and Aam Aadmi Party. The pre-poll survey of Shining India News and Ek Mulakat Survey had stated that voters of Delhi are aware and confuse too. The new party of Arvind Kejriwal named Aam Aadmi Party had changed the scenario of politics of Delhi. It had converted the face to face fight of BJP and INC to triangular fight.
It is true that there is anti- congress air in Delhi but both BJP and AAP is getting the benefit of this flow. AAP had disturbed the path of majority of BJP in Delhi. Survey stated that the winning margin on any party in Delhi out of two rivals BJP and INC will be very less. The teams of Shining India News and Ek Mulakat Survey had met with 15,500 voters of Delhi from 10th of August of 2013 to 18th of October 2013 in whole state. The survey reveals that BJP has gained strength in the state and the electorate of Delhi state had giving a positive approach to BJP. Meanwhile AAP will become the kingmaker of politics in Delhi.
According to the survey of Shining India News and Ek Mulakat, BJP is likely to secure 28 seats in this term which is higher from 2008 when party got only 23 while INC may get 24. AAP will get 13. The other smaller parties and independent will get 5.
Survey also stated that INC is getting demotion and have to face negativity. BJP will get positive impact and benefit of anti- congress air in this term. The gap in this term is not as enough to make government and AAP is getting direct benefit of it. It is also noted that the seats of BJP had become higher due to higher pro-incumbency of BJP in comparison of 2008, giving BJP an advantage.
Comparing the actual report of 2008 of Delhi with Pre-poll report.
Total seats: 70
**This table has been based on the survey report which has been conducted independently by the survey and analysis team Shining India news and Ek Mulakat Survey.
SURVEY PROCESS FOR DELHI
This pre-poll survey had been independently conducted by Shining India news and Ek Mulakat Survey. This survey was conducted from 20th of August 2013 to 28th of October 2013. A total of 15,500 persons had been randomly selected from the latest electoral rolls. These persons were interviewed from all over the state. The respondents were selected by using the Systematic Random Sampling method from the most updated electoral rolls. Keeping in mind, the probability of non completion of interviews amongst all the selected respondents we adopted the technique of over sampling of respondents. The interviews were conducted by specially trained survey and analysis team. The respondents were interviewed in the face-to-face interview situation using a structured interview schedule in Hindi.
Process of Whole survey of Delhi State:
Major suggestion which voters give to show interest in their representative of Delhi
Major points which affects the election of Delhi
Voter’s response over the governance of Sheila Dikshit
Response of voters over another chance to Congress Government
The choice of CM candidate for Delhi has been given below:
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