UK votes Brexit: what would happen next? Play! 01:32
This is rubbish for two reasons. First, it’s based on the Government’s assumption that Brexit will lead to a collapse in trade that will wipe billions off GDP. The Treasury forecasts that this is based on are alarmist and absurd – they suggest a retraction worse than the Great Depression. Businessmen who actually deal with Europe every day, such as Sir James Dyson, report that they don’t see such a risk and are confident that Britain will continue to grow.
Second, Cameron suggests that the Government would have no choice but to cut pensions – as though the invisible hand of the free market would be clasped around its throat. Nonsense. It would face spending choices and, Cameron is telling us, it would choose to cut pensions. Much as the Government has chosen in the last few years to cut the highest rate of income tax on the rich or chosen to cut benefits for the poor. If Brexit did trigger a recession, the Government would once again have to do what it’s supposed to do and make budget decisions based upon its political preferences. I humbly suggest it chases the tax evaders and closes some loopholes before it bleeds pensioners dry.
The bottom line is this: the Prime Minister has moved from warning the British people to threatening them. And picking on the elderly – some of whom are legitimately worried about the future – is one of the lowest things you can do in politics. Tories hate when it’s done to them (unfairly, as they’re almost always very generous to OAPs) and Cameron should know better than to inject terror into this campaign now.
Will it work? I think not. Remain has thrown a lot at the public and yet momentum still seems to be behind Leave. People are resistant to threats, especially those based on the wild fantasies of politicians fighting a tactical retreat. In fact, it’s rather fun to watch them run.
Moreover, Cameron’s announcement that Brexit might force him to do a u-turn won’t shock the voters. He’s done a lot of those. By Agencies,
Leave a Reply