Kolkata: Shining India West Bengal Assembly Elections Opinion Poll, West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee is set to return in power for the 3rd consecutive term with a comfortable majority of 168 seats, 21 more than what is required to form the government in the 294 member of West Bengal Assembly. The Bharatiya Janata Party on the other hand, will increase its tally by about 89 seats but would still big fall short of majority, according to an opinion poll conducted by Shining India News and Shining India Survey.
West Bengal Seat Share projection
TMC : 168 +-11
BJP : 89 +-11
INC + : 35 +-7
OTH. : 02 +-2
(There are close battles over 54 seats )
West Bengal Vote share projection
TMC : 41.9% +-3
BJP : 35.1% +-3
INC + : 15.2% +-3
OTH. : 03.1% +-1
ND : 4.7 ( Undecided & Silent
voter’s)
The All India Trina Mool Congress is predicted to get 41.9 per cent vote share and 168 seats, 46 less than what it had got in Last assembly election 2016. The BJP main challenger to TMC, is expected to get 35.1 per cent vote share and 89 seats, up by 86 seats from the Last assembly elections 2016, when it had got just 3 assembly constituency seat. In the previous assembly polls, BJP’s vote share was just 10.16 per cent whereas the TMC had the largest vote share of nearly 44.91%.
The Third Front of Left and Congress is predicted to get just 35 seats, down by 41 than what it had got in assembly elections 2016.
Most interesting there are very close battle over 54 seats, however, 54 seats where the vote difference margin is very thin and polls suggest that even a 1.8% vote shift can push the election results will be come close both side. Of these 54 seats, the TMC is leading on 28 seats while the BJP is ahead on 17 and Congress-Left has an edge on 9 seats.
The numbers predicted by the Shining India opinion poll suggest a setback for the BJP who have been constantly claiming that the saffron party would form the next government in West Bengal by winning over 190-200 seats.
Although BJP is contesting very strongly in Bengal, But BJP does not have a bigger and strong CM candidate then Mamata Banerjee.
BJP is lossing due to inflation, prices rise of petrol and diesel, unemployment, farmer’s issue and price rise of LPG cylinder that mainly hit worst way to middle class that leads to setback to BJP in state assembly elections.
Duration of the Survey and opinion polls : 22/1 to 14/3/21. and during the Survey and opinion, 84982 voters were opinionated, who belong to all religions and all age groups.
Bureau Report
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