New Delhi: Ek Mulakat Survey and Shining India Research & Analysis had conducted the final survey of Delhi which had been bound for elections on February 7 that Aam Aadmi Party is getting complete majority to form government in National Capital if polling held today.
The random survey had been conducted in 35 constituencies of 70-membered Delhi Assembly in between February 1 to February 3.
Teams of these two major survey groups had met with 5780 people in 450 polling booth.
The last round survey for Delhi Assembly by Shining India Group had figured out that Aam Aadmi Party being projected to get 38-41 seats out of 70-member Delhi Assembly and Bharatiya Janata Party is likely to secure 28-30 seats.
The survey teams of Shining India had asked people of Delhi over the choice of CM for Delhi. People had showed their interest toward AAP’s chief Arvind Kejriwal more than former IPS and CM Candidate of BJP, Kiran Bedi.
55% voters had supported Aam Aadmi Party’s national convener and CM candidate Arvind Kejriwal with only 38% had supported BJP’s CM candidate Kiran Bedi for their CM of Delhi. Ajay Maken had become the back runner with the choice of 7% only.
The main issues which are affecting elections of Delhi and accelerating voters toward AAP are electricity, water, women security, Jan Lokpal Bill, corruption, health and education, unemployment.
AAP’s national convener and former CM of Delhi, Arvind Kejriwal had become the face of poor people. Arvind Kejriwal had very beautifully targeted the soft points of middle class and poor people and turned the fight of candidate versus candidate to candidate versus Kejriwal.
Meanwhile Congress is struggling to survive in Delhi. Survey reports had showed that Congress may secure 3-4 seats against the eight it had won in the last election held in December 2013.
Notify that BJP is losing its ground in rural, slum and middle class area. AAP is stepping in these areas and widely impressing the voters of rural, middle class and slum areas.
Survey claimed that AAP is getting 48% votes in rural while BJP is getting 32% and Congress is going to settle at only 15%.
In Slum areas, AAP is expected to get 65% votes while BJP may get 21% and Congress only 12%.
In middle class, AAP is quite famous and manage its ground with 40% votes while BJP here also weakening and expected to get 34% and Congress 16%.
BJP has stronghold over upper class voters and had a good support with 44%. AAP is the second runner with the difference of only 6% and is expected to get 38%. Congress however, in this class unable to impress voters and expected to get 10% only.
How did the survey?
There are 70 seats in Delhi. The survey has 35 seats. The 5780 survey is based on conversations with people. For over 18 years, registered voters are asked the same questions. 1 February to 3 February 2015 survey is based on public opinion. The European Society for Opinion and Marketing Research survey of the ESOMAR guidelines are fully in keeping.
Election in Delhi had been holding on February 7 with declaration of result on 10 February.
Bureau Report
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